SMHD 2019

Stochastic modelling in Health & Disease

School of Mathematics, University of Leeds

11-13 September 2019



Image

About

SMHD 2019 is a 3-day meeting bringing together researchers working on the modelling of Biological systems related to infection and immunity, at the cellular, within-host and population levels, with special focus on stochastic and probabilistic approaches. Talks will cover topics including: developing mathematical and computational models for infection, immunity and disease spread, statistical approaches for informing models from experimental and clinical data, or the development of new methodologies for analysing these systems, including new techniques for the analysis of stochastic processes. The meeting will consist of a number of talks delivered by keynote speakers, as well as contributed talks.

Keynote speakers

Schedule

A preliminary schedule of the meeting is below. The meeting is taking place at the School of Mathematics, University of Leeds. Registration will take place 9:00-9.35 at the main entrance of the School of Mathematics. Information on how to reach the School can be found here. The talks will take place at:

  • Wednesday 11th: Roger Stevens LT01 (note that Roger Stevens is a building located next to the School of Maths. From the School of Maths Level 9, go upstairs into Dolche Vita Cafe at Level 10, turn right and cross the bridge. You are now at Roger Stevens).
  • Thursday 12th - Friday 13th: School of Mathematics MALLs (School of Maths, Level 8)

Wednesday Thursday Friday
9.00-9.40 Registration Catherine Noakes (University of Leeds) Kieran Sharkey (University of Liverpool)
9.40-10.20 Konstantin Blyuss (University of Sussex) Lulla Opatowski (UVSQ/Institut Pasteur) Grant Lythe (University of Leeds)
10.20-10.45 Jake Carson (University of Warwick) David Sirl (University of Nottingham) Jonty Carruthers (University of Leeds)
10.45-11.15 Coffee break Coffee break Coffee break
11.15-11.40 Francesco Di Lauro (University of Sussex) Marco-Felipe King (University of Leeds) Martín López-García (University of Leeds)
11.40-12.20 István Kiss (University of Sussex) Theodore Kypraios (University of Nottingham) Farzad Fatehi* (University of York)
12.20-12.45 Jean-Charles Croix (University of Sussex) Yi Ming Lai (University of Nottingham) Alice Corbella* (University of Warwick)
12.45-13.45 Lunch Lunch Lunch & End*
13.45-14.10 Joe Hilton (University of Warwick) Clement Twumasi (University of Cardiff)
14.10-14.50 Thomas House (University of Manchester) Kit Yates (University of Bath)
14.50-15.30 Joshua Ross (University of Adelaide) Carmen Molina-París (University of Leeds)
15.30-16.00 Coffee break Coffee break
16.00-16.40 Ada Yan (Imperial College London) Gabriela Gomes (Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine)
16.40-17.05 Simon Spencer (University of Warwick) Renata Retkute (University of Warwick)
17.05-18.30 Wine reception

*11:40-12:05, 12:05-12:30. Lunch & end: 12:30-13:30

A detailed programme can be downloaded here. The list of talks is below.

Wednesday 11th
9.00-9.35 Registration. School of Mathematics, reception.
9.40-10.45 Roger Stevens LT01. Chair: Martín López-García
  • Stochastic effects in autoimmune dynamics

    Konstantin Blyuss (University of Sussex, UK)
  • Bayesian model selection for individual level infectious disease models

    Jake Carson (University of Warwick, UK)
10.45-11.15 Coffee break. Waterside Café, Roger Stevens Level 6
11.15-12.45 Roger Stevens LT01. Chair: Konstantin Blyuss
  • Inference of disease and network parameters based on mean-field models

    Francesco Di Lauro (University of Sussex, UK)
  • Network inference from population-level observation of epidemics

    István Kiss (University of Sussex, UK)
  • Non-parametric Bayesian inference for discretely observed diffusions: applications to epidemics

    Jean-Charles Croix (University of Sussex, UK)
12.45-13.45 Lunch. Waterside Café, Roger Stevens Level 6
13.45-15.30 Roger Stevens LT01. Chair: István Kiss
  • A household-structured approach to endemic infections

    Joe Hilton (University of Warwick, UK)
  • Modelling infections in closely connected sub-populations: Scabies in residential care homes

    Thomas House (University of Manchester, UK)
  • Epidemic fadeout

    Joshua Ross (University of Adelaide, Australia)
15.30-16.00 Coffee break. Waterside Café, Roger Stevens Level 6
16.00-17.05 Roger Stevens LT01. Chair: Thomas House
  • How can we use the probability of infection upon exposure to better characterise an ongoing immune response within the host?

    Ada Yan (Imperial College London, UK)
  • Bayesian inference for multi-strain epidemics with application to Escherichia coli O157:H7 in feedlot cattle

    Simon Spencer (University of Warwick, UK)
17.05-18.30 Wine reception. Waterside Café, Roger Stevens Level 6

Thursday 12th
9.00-10.45 MALLs, School of Mathematics Level 8. Chair: Joshua Ross
  • Modelling the influence of airflow on transmission of airborne infection in indoor environments

    Catherine Noakes (University of Leeds, UK)
  • Assessing the transmission of antibiotic resistant bacteria on human contact networks

    Lulla Opatowski (UVSQ/Institut Pasteur, France)
  • A network epidemic model with preventive rewiring

    David Sirl (University of Nottingham, UK)
10.45-11.15 Coffee break. School of Mathematics, Reading Room, Level 9
11.15-12.45 MALLs, School of Mathematics Level 8. Chair: Lulla Opatowski
  • The role of surfaces in the transmission of bioaerosols from source to patient in hospital rooms

    Marco-Felipe King (University of Leeds, UK)
  • Modelling, Bayesian inference and model assessment for nosocomial pathogens using whole-genome-sequence data

    Theodore Kypraios (University of Nottingham, UK)
  • Complex contagions: a dynamical systems approach

    Yi Ming Lai (University of Nottingham, UK)
12.45-13.45 Lunch. School of Mathematics, Reading Room, Level 9
13.45-15.30 MALLs, School of Mathematics Level 8. Chair: Marco-Felipe King
  • Comparative modelling of parasite population dynamics of two Gyrodactylus species

    Clement Twumasi (University of Cardiff, UK)
  • Hybrid frameworks for modelling stochastic biological processes

    Kit Yates (University of Bath, UK)
  • IL-7 in naive T cell homeostasis: modelling at the molecular, cellular and population scales

    Carmen Molina-París (University of Leeds, UK)
15.30-16.00 Coffee break. School of Mathematics, Reading Room, Level 9
16.00-17.05 MALLs, School of Mathematics Level 8. Chair: Kit Yates
  • The effects of individual non-heritable variation on fitness estimation and coexistence

    Gabriela Gomes (Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, UK)
  • Approximate Bayesian Computation for infectious disease modelling: application to the 2004 measles outbreak in Malawi

    Renata Retkute (University of Warwick, UK)

Friday 13th
9.00-10.45 MALLs, School of Mathematics Level 8. Chair: Ada Yan
  • Capturing the quasi-stationary distribution within a deterministic framework for stochastic SIS dynamics

    Kieran Sharkey (University of Liverpool, UK)
  • How many TCR clonotypes does a body maintain?

    Grant Lythe (University of Leeds, UK)
  • A novel stochastic multi-scale model of Francisella tularensis infection to predict risk of infection in a laboratory

    Jonty Carruthers (University of Leeds, UK)
10.45-11.15 Coffee break. School of Mathematics, Reading Room, Level 9
11.15-12.30 MALLs, School of Mathematics Level 8. Chair: Martín López-García
  • Markovian models for the spread of hospital-acquired infections: detection, outbreak management and infection control

    Martín López-García (University of Leeds, UK)
  • Comparative analysis of different treatment options in the context of a stochastic intracellular model of a hepatitis B viral infection

    Farzad Fatehi (University of York, UK)
  • Joint inference of severity and transmission of influenza from multiple dependent data sources

    Alice Corbella (University of Warwick, UK)
12.30-13.30 Lunch & End. School of Mathematics, Reading Room, Level 9

Venue

The meeting is taking place at the School of Mathematics, University of Leeds. Registration will take place 9:00-9:35 at the main entrance of the School of Mathematics. Information on how to reach the School can be found here. The talks will take place at:

  • Wednesday 11th: Roger Stevens LT01 (note that Roger Stevens is a building located next to the School of Maths. From the School of Maths Level 9, go upstairs into Dolche Vita Cafe at Level 10, turn right and cross the bridge. You are now at Roger Stevens).
  • Thursday 12th - Friday 13th: School of Mathematics MALLs (School of Maths, Level 8)

Registration

Registration is now closed.

Abstract submission

Abstract submission for contributed talks is closed.

Accommodation

Accommodation is arranged from Leeds for Keynote speakers. Other participants are kindly asked to make their own accommodation arrangements in Leeds. If you have any questions about accommodation options near the University of Leeds, please contact Martín López-García.

Contact

If you have any questions regarding this meeting, please send an email to Martín López-García.

Location

Dr Martín López-García, Department of Applied Mathematics, School of Mathematics, University of Leeds

Phone

+44 (0)113-343-8951
Top